Estoril vs Arouca Prediction - September 7, 2026
Alternative:2-1
Goals: Over 1.51.27
What is the prediction for Estoril vs Arouca?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Arouca are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Estoril and Arouca have combined for 14 goals across their last three meetings, and that history is a big part of why Superior takes Over 1.5 goals in Estoril vs Arouca on 7 September at 1.27, with 64 percent confidence. The most one-sided of those three finished 4-3 to Estoril.
These two have produced 14 goals in their last three meetings
An average of well over four goals a match in recent head to head play is a rare number, and it is backed up by Arouca's own current form: three wins in their last five and 1.4 goals a game on the road. Estoril have been much quieter at 0.6 a game themselves, but this fixture's history suggests goals tend to arrive from somewhere even when one side is struggling.
Estoril have not scored more than once in four of their last five
Estoril's own attack is the risk this bet is taking. They have not scored more than once in any of their last five matches and were shut out twice in that run. If Arouca's defence holds them scoreless and the away side themselves fail to add a second, a single goal is enough to sink this line, and Estoril's home form gives that scenario real weight even against a high scoring head to head record.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 6, 2026 | Arouca | 3 - 2 | Estoril |
| November 7, 2025 | Estoril | 4 - 3 | Arouca |
| March 16, 2025 | Arouca | 1 - 1 | Estoril |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4 | +7 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +4 | 9 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +2 | 8 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 2 | +3 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 2 | +7 | 4 | ||
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 8 | 3 | +1 | 4 | ||
| 9 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 10 | 4 | -5 | 3 | ||
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | ||
| 12 | 4 | -4 | 2 | ||
| 13 | 4 | -4 | 2 | ||
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | ||
| 15 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 16 | 3 | -4 | 1 | ||
| 17 | 2 | -4 | 1 | ||
| 18 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sporting CP | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 | |
| 3 | Arouca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 5 | Maritimo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | |
| 7 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 4 | |
| 8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 | |
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 | |
| 13 | Alverca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 | |
| 14 | SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| 15 | Famalicao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 16 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | |
| 17 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |