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Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction - 8 September 2026

CONMEBOL SudamericanaWorldFull time
Santa Fe
0-0
Vasco DA Gama

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

73%Odds 1.22Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-0

Bookmaker odds

Home2.22price falling, opened at 2.50
Draw2.86price falling, opened at 3.20
Away3.74price rising, opened at 2.94
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.74price rising, opened at 1.41
Under 1.52.10price falling, opened at 2.54
Over 2.53.13price rising, opened at 2.40
Under 2.51.33price falling, opened at 1.57
Over 3.55.90price rising, opened at 4.30
Under 3.51.11price falling, opened at 1.15
Both teams to score
Yes2.38price rising, opened at 1.97
No1.54price falling, opened at 1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.90
Away +0.251.90

What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. Vasco DA Gama are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Both Santa Fe and Vasco da Gama go into their Copa Sudamericana tie on 8 September on two days' rest and their fourth or fifth game inside a fortnight, the workload behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick at 1.22, rated 73 percent by the model. Santa Fe have already drawn three of their last five, twice without scoring at all.

Santa Fe have drawn three of five, twice without scoring

Two of Santa Fe's last five finished 0-0 and a third ended 1-1, with only a 3-2 win and a 2-0 win breaking the pattern. That kind of home form, low event, few clean sweeps, sits naturally under a 3.5 total even before Vasco's own travel and workload are factored in.

Vasco arrive worn down by their own fixture pile

Vasco da Gama have played four times in the last two weeks and go again here on two days' rest, the same squeeze Santa Fe are under. Vasco can score heavily when fresh, as a 4-1 win in that run shows, but they have also shipped four goals themselves in the same stretch, and a congested continental trip is a hard place to repeat either extreme.

Vasco's 4-1 and 1-4 swings are the total's real risk

Under 3.5 loses at four goals or more, and Vasco's last five already contain both a 4-1 win and a 1-4 defeat, proof this side can produce a high-event match under fatigue rather than a tight one. If either of those swings repeats here, the total goes over.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 2.5Won1.62
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00
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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-112.3%Our score
  2. 1-010.5%Alternative
  3. 2-19.0%
  4. 0-18.5%
  5. 2-07.6%

Top five combined: 47.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSanta FexG1.45
AwayVasco DA GamaxG1.18
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.2%
10%
7.6%
3.7%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.5%
12%
9.0%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
5.0%
7.3%
5.3%
2.6%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
3
2.0%
2.9%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 53.1%46.9% No
Over 1.5 73.9%26.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.0%51.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.1%72.9% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Santa Fe win and over 2.5 goals25.4%
Santa Fe win and both teams score19.9%
Vasco DA Gama win and over 2.5 goals17.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.5%
Outcome markets
Santa Fe or draw69.4%
Vasco DA Gama or draw56.5%
Either team wins74.1%
Draw no bet: Santa Fe58.7%
Draw no bet: Vasco DA Gama41.3%
Santa Fe win to nil23.6%
Vasco DA Gama win to nil16.2%
Team goals
Santa Fe to score76.7%
Vasco DA Gama to score69.2%
Santa Fe over 1.5 goals42.7%
Vasco DA Gama over 1.5 goals33.0%
Santa Fe clean sheet30.8%
Vasco DA Gama clean sheet23.3%

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  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Vasco DA Gama: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Santa Fe vs Vasco DA Gama