Southampton vs Swansea Prediction - 8 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
80%Odds 1.27Won
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
What is the prediction for Southampton vs Swansea?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Swansea are in better form heading into this match.
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Southampton have been part of a 5-1 and two more three-goal games in their last five, the run behind Superior's Over 1.5 pick for their home game with Swansea on 8 September at 1.27, rated 65 percent by the model. Swansea have matched a similar output on the road, so this total is backed by both sides rather than one alone.
Southampton have been part of a high-scoring game in four of five
Southampton's last five include a 5-1 win, a 1-4 defeat and two more results with three or more goals, only one 1-1 draw breaking the pattern. Swansea have been tighter at times, but even they have three wins to show in the same stretch, including a 3-0 and a 2-1.
One meeting finished 0-0, the other produced three goals
The last two meetings between these sides split evenly, a 0-0 draw and a 2-1 Southampton win, so head-to-head form alone does not settle it. What does is the raw scoring rate each side brings into this game, 2.2 for Southampton and 1.4 for Swansea, a combined 3.6 that clears this total on its own.
Swansea's own quiet nights are the risk to this total
Over 1.5 loses at zero or one total goal, a scoreline neither side has produced often, but Swansea did register a 0-0 draw and a 0-1 defeat within this run. If Swansea revert to that shape and Southampton's own finishing has a rare off night, the total can still finish short.
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-111.0%Our score
- 2-19.5%Alternative
- 1-08.8%
- 2-07.6%
- 1-26.9%
Top five combined: 43.8%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
Combos
Outcome markets
Team goals
Today's acca
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Formations
Confirmed formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 April 2026 | Swansea | 1 - 2 | Southampton |
| 18 October 2025 | Southampton | 0 - 0 | Swansea |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 17 | ||
| 2 | 8 | +11 | 15 | ||
| 3 | 8 | +4 | 15 | ||
| 4 | 7 | +3 | 14 | ||
| 5 | 8 | +3 | 13 | ||
| 6 | 8 | +1 | 13 | ||
| 7 | 8 | -1 | 13 | ||
| 8 | 8 | -3 | 12 | ||
| 9 | 6 | +4 | 11 | ||
| 10 | 8 | +1 | 11 | ||
| 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | ||
| 12 | 8 | -1 | 11 | ||
| 13 | 8 | +9 | 10 | ||
| 14 | 8 | -3 | 10 | ||
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 9 | ||
| 17 | 8 | -2 | 9 | ||
| 18 | 7 | -1 | 8 | ||
| 19 | 8 | -3 | 8 | ||
| 20 | 8 | -2 | 7 | ||
| 21 | 7 | -5 | 7 | ||
| 22 | 8 | -7 | 5 | ||
| 23 | 8 | -7 | 4 | ||
| 24 | 8 | -8 | 4 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | |
| 4 | West Brom | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | |
| 5 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| 6 | Stoke City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 13 | |
| 7 | Bristol City | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | |
| 8 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 12 | |
| 9 | Wolves | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | |
| 10 | Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 | |
| 11 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 | |
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 11 | |
| 13 | Southampton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 10 | |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 15 | Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | |
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 | |
| 17 | Sheffield United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 | |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 8 | |
| 19 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | |
| 20 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 | |
| 21 | Bolton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | |
| 22 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | |
| 23 | Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 |