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El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly Prediction - 9 September 2026

Premier LeagueEgyptFull time
El Mokawloon
1-1
Al Ahly

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

58%Odds 1.28Won

Correct score1-2Alternative1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home9.80price rising, opened at 7.70
Draw4.75price rising, opened at 4.15
Away1.27price falling, opened at 1.37
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.26price falling, opened at 1.29
Under 1.53.20price rising, opened at 3.04
Over 2.51.87price falling, opened at 1.98
Under 2.51.83price rising, opened at 1.74
Over 3.53.08price falling, opened at 3.34
Under 3.51.28price rising, opened at 1.24
Both teams to score
Yes2.40price rising, opened at 2.21
No1.50price falling, opened at 1.58
Odd/Even
Odd1.83
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +1.51.78
Away -1.51.89

What is the prediction for El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly?

Our correct score is 1-2, then 1-1. Al Ahly are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Al Ahly's attack is rated 6.9 out of 10 against a home defence rated 6.3, a narrow enough gap that Superior is not backing a routine away goal rush in El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly, the Egyptian Premier League fixture on 9 September priced at 1.28 for Under 3.5 and rated 64 percent.

Al Ahly's defence is rated a point clear of El Mokawloon's attack

That same gap runs the other way too: Al Ahly's own defence, at 6.7, comfortably outranks El Mokawloon's attack at 6.4, which is why the combined average of 3.4 goals a game sits just under this line rather than well clear of it. The reverse fixture in March went 3-1 to Al Ahly, and El Mokawloon are fighting relegation while Al Ahly sit a comfortable third with nothing pressing.

The combined average here is only a tenth of a goal off the line

The way this loses is four or more total goals, and at a combined 3.4 a game, this pairing sits close enough to that number that one open half would tip it over. Al Ahly have scored nine in their last five and El Mokawloon eight, and if a relegation-threatened home side chases the game the way it has at times this season, four goals is a short step away.

More tips for this game

  • Asian Handicap: Away -0.25Lost1.24
  • Match Winner: AwayLost1.46
  • Asian Handicap: Away -0.5Lost1.50
  • Asian Handicap: Away -1.25Lost1.99
  • Correct score: 0-2Lost5.75
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-29.8%Our score
  2. 0-29.7%
  3. 1-18.6%Alternative
  4. 0-18.4%
  5. 1-37.4%

Top five combined: 43.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeEl MokawloonxG1.01
AwayAl AhlyxG2.29
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.7%
3.7%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
8.4%
8.6%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
2
9.7%
9.8%
4.9%
1.7%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
7.4%
7.4%
3.8%
1.3%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
4.2%
4.3%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
1.9%
1.9%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
1.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 57.2%42.8% No
Over 1.5 84.1%15.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 64.0%36.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 41.9%58.1% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

El Mokawloon win and over 2.5 goals9.7%
El Mokawloon win and both teams score8.9%
Al Ahly win and over 2.5 goals47.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.2%
Outcome markets
El Mokawloon or draw34.0%
Al Ahly or draw84.6%
Either team wins81.3%
Draw no bet: El Mokawloon18.9%
Draw no bet: Al Ahly81.1%
El Mokawloon win to nil6.5%
Al Ahly win to nil32.7%
Team goals
El Mokawloon to score63.6%
Al Ahly to score89.8%
El Mokawloon over 1.5 goals26.9%
Al Ahly over 1.5 goals66.6%
El Mokawloon clean sheet10.2%
Al Ahly clean sheet36.4%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

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Prediction, preview and head to head: El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly
Head to Head

Head to Head

El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
5 March 2026El Mokawloon1 - 3Al Ahly
30 December 2025Al Ahly0 - 3El Mokawloon
League Table

League Table

Premier LeagueEgypt · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1541093+613
25401103+712
3440070+712
4431071+610
5531174+310
6531163+310
7521265+17
852128807
952125507
10413043+16
11520357-26
12520347-36
13512245-15
14411257-24
15411224-24
16511314-34
17510418-73
18502336-32
19502315-42
20401318-71
Premier League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Al Ahly541093613
2Ceramica Cleopatra5401103712
3Al Assiouty Sport440070712
4Zamalek SC431071610
5Coca-Cola531174310
6Al Ittihad531163310
7El Mokawloon52126517
8Petrojet52128807
9El Geish52125507
10Olympic El Qanah41304316
11AL Masry520357-26
12National Bank of Egypt520347-36
13Wadi Degla512245-15
14Enppi411257-24
15Masr411224-24
16Smouha SC511314-34
17Abu Qair Semad510418-73
18El Gouna FC502336-32
19Asyut Petroleum502315-42
20Ghazl El Mehalla401318-71