Skip to picks

Bet of the Day

18 September 2026

18 September 2026. Our strongest pick of the day.

Bet of the DayWon

Goals: Over 1.5

82%Odds 1.20

England · Premier League

Brentford3Chelsea0

Correct score1-12-1

See today's Bet of the Day

Get the Bet of the Day on Telegram every morning.

Join on Telegram

Match analysis

Brentford vs Chelsea on 18 September carries Superior's highest-probability pick of the day, Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, priced at 82 percent. Neither side has finished a match below two total goals in any of their last five, the kind of consistency that separates this selection from the rest of today's board.

Ten different matches, ten different scorelines, all over this line

Brentford's own last five have finished 4, 2, 2, 7 and 3 total goals, and Chelsea's have gone 4, 9, 3, 7 and 2, meaning every one of the last ten matches either side has played has cleared 1.5 goals comfortably. That is the base this pick is built on rather than one standout attacking performance, and it is why this line carries Superior's highest confidence figure of any selection made today.

Chelsea have played only one road game this stretch

That single away fixture produced just one goal from Chelsea themselves, their thinnest scoring output of the run, even though Brentford's own goal that day was enough to keep the match over this line regardless. If Chelsea's away scoring really is quieter than their home form and Brentford have a flat night too, the two sides have shown before, in a goalless draw between them eighteen months ago, that a shutout is not unheard of here.

Brentford vs Chelsea: stats and odds