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UEFA Nations League

Germany vs Serbia

Correct score
2 - 0
Alternative score
4 - 1
Featured pick
Match Winner: Home @ 1.25
Match page

Match analysis

Germany average 2.2 goals a game over their last five and Serbia 1.0, and Superior's pick for Germany vs Serbia in the Nations League on 1 October is the German win at 1.25. The model gives it an 81% chance, with Serbia arriving on four straight defeats, including 1-2 at home to both the Netherlands and Greece this month.

Serbia conceded at least twice in each of their four straight defeats

Superior prices this from each team's measured scoring and conceding, and Serbia's run gives the grid little reason to protect them: they lost 1-5 to Mexico and 0-3 to Cape Verde before the two September home defeats. Germany's average includes a 7-1 over Curacao, but they also beat Ivory Coast 2-1, and the likeliest scores the model prices are 2-0 and 1-0 to Germany.

Germany lost 1-0 at home to Greece on 27 September

The German win loses to a draw or a Serbia win, and Germany have not won in three: 1-2 against Ecuador in June, 1-1 in the Netherlands on 24 September, then that home defeat to Greece. A side that failed to score at home four days earlier can do it again, and a 1-1 settles this against the pick.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.21
Draw6.55
Away13.50
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.06
Under 1.56.05
Over 2.51.36
Under 2.52.84
Over 3.51.99
Under 3.51.82
Both teams to score
Yes1.85
No1.87
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -21.93
Away +21.80

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

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Head to Head

Germany vs Serbia: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
27 September 2026Germany0 - 1Greece
24 September 2026Netherlands1 - 1Germany
25 June 2026Ecuador2 - 1Germany

Head to Head

Serbia vs Germany: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
27 September 2026Serbia1 - 2Netherlands
24 September 2026Serbia1 - 2Greece
5 June 2026Mexico5 - 1Serbia
31 May 2026Cape Verde Islands3 - 0Serbia
31 March 2026Serbia2 - 1Saudi Arabia
View Germany vs Serbia Prediction