Germany vs Serbia Prediction - 1 October 2026
Our pick:Home win
81%Odds 1.25
Correct score2-0Alternative4-1
What is the prediction for Germany vs Serbia?
Our correct score is 2-0, then 4-1. Germany are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Germany average 2.2 goals a game over their last five and Serbia 1.0, and Superior's pick for Germany vs Serbia in the Nations League on 1 October is the German win at 1.25. The model gives it an 81% chance, with Serbia arriving on four straight defeats, including 1-2 at home to both the Netherlands and Greece this month.
Serbia conceded at least twice in each of their four straight defeats
Superior prices this from each team's measured scoring and conceding, and Serbia's run gives the grid little reason to protect them: they lost 1-5 to Mexico and 0-3 to Cape Verde before the two September home defeats. Germany's average includes a 7-1 over Curacao, but they also beat Ivory Coast 2-1, and the likeliest scores the model prices are 2-0 and 1-0 to Germany.
Germany lost 1-0 at home to Greece on 27 September
The German win loses to a draw or a Serbia win, and Germany have not won in three: 1-2 against Ecuador in June, 1-1 in the Netherlands on 24 September, then that home defeat to Greece. A side that failed to score at home four days earlier can do it again, and a 1-1 settles this against the pick.
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.66Get the daily pick and the morning ticket on Telegram.
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