Head to Head Stats & Predictions
Next meeting
Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios
- Correct score
- 1 - 1
- Alternative score
- 1 - 0
- Featured pick
- Home Goals: Under 2.5 @ 1.19
Match analysis
Superior is backing Independiente Medellin to score under 2.5 goals against Millonarios, at 1.19, in a game that kicks off on the evening of 29 September, Colombian time. The model gives Medellin's team total a 79% chance of stopping at two, because Millonarios haven't conceded more than once in any of their last five games.
Millonarios drew 1-1 at Atletico Nacional on 25 September
That draw capped a run of 3-0 against Chico, 2-1 at Cucuta and 1-1 draws with Deportivo Cali and at Deportivo Pereira. Superior builds Medellin's expected goals from two sides of the ledger, what Medellin score and what Millonarios concede, and the Millonarios side of it pulls the rate down hard. The two most recent meetings point the same way, a 0-0 away at Millonarios in February and a 1-0 Medellin home win in August 2025.
Medellin scored four at Pasto and three at Pereira in September
Medellin average 2.4 goals a game, right at the line, and two of their last five cleared it, 4-1 at Deportivo Pasto on 10 September and 3-0 at Deportivo Pereira on 4 September. A third Medellin goal settles this against us whatever Millonarios do, so a 3-1 or a 3-2 loses this pick even in a close match. At 1.19 the price leaves little room for nights like those two.
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Match History
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 February 2026 | Millonarios | 0 - 0 | Independiente Medellin |
| 3 August 2025 | Independiente Medellin | 1 - 0 | Millonarios |
Recent Form
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 September 2026 | Junior | 2 - 0 | Independiente Medellin |
| 22 September 2026 | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 1 | Jaguares |
| 18 September 2026 | Bucaramanga | 2 - 2 | Independiente Medellin |
| 12 September 2026 | Chico | 2 - 1 | Independiente Medellin |
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 September 2026 | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 1 | Millonarios |
| 19 September 2026 | Millonarios | 3 - 0 | Chico |
| 14 September 2026 | Cucuta | 1 - 2 | Millonarios |
| 11 September 2026 | Millonarios | 1 - 1 | Deportivo Cali |
| 6 September 2026 | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 1 | Millonarios |
