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Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City Prediction - 26 September 2026

League TwoEnglandFull time
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Exeter City

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

74%Odds 1.43Won

Correct score1-0Alternative1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.66price falling, opened at 1.73
Draw3.94
Away4.49price rising, opened at 4.05
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.22price rising, opened at 1.21
Under 1.53.50price falling, opened at 3.58
Over 2.51.80price rising, opened at 1.75
Under 2.51.93price falling, opened at 1.99
Over 3.52.92price rising, opened at 2.78
Under 3.51.31price falling, opened at 1.34
Both teams to score
Yes1.78price rising, opened at 1.71
No1.93price falling, opened at 2.02
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.87price falling, opened at 1.88
Handicap
Home -0.751.79price falling, opened at 1.85
Away +0.751.84price rising, opened at 1.78

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City?

Our correct score is 1-0, then 1-1. Bristol Rovers are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Exeter City have scored three goals in five games and Bristol Rovers five, which is why Superior's pick for their meeting on 26 September is Under 3.5 goals. The price is 1.43 and the model rates the pick at 74 percent, on two scoring averages that add up to 1.6 goals a game.

No Exeter game in their last five reached three goals

Exeter drew 0-0 with Tranmere and Walsall, lost 1-0 at Port Vale and drew 1-1 with Barnet, and their only multi-goal game was a 2-0 win over Tottenham's under-21s. The model projects each side's goals from its measured scoring and conceding before pricing the scorelines, and Exeter's attack gives it very little to work with. Rovers' own games finished 3-0, 2-0, 1-0, 2-0 and 2-0, all inside this line.

Rovers conceded five in their last two away games

Gillingham scored three against Rovers on 19 September and Grimsby two a week earlier, so the Rovers defence is where four goals could come from. A 2-2, a 3-1 or a 1-3 would each lose it. The one meeting on record, in April 2025, ended 1-2 to Exeter at Rovers, three goals and one short of the line.

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-013.2%Our score
  2. 1-112.9%Alternative
  3. 2-19.5%
  4. 0-09.2%
  5. 2-09.2%

Top five combined: 54.0%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBristol RoversxG1.42
AwayExeter CityxG0.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.2%
13%
9.2%
4.3%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.8%
13%
9.5%
4.0%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
2
4.3%
6.2%
4.4%
2.1%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
1.4%
1.8%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 47.2%52.8% No
Over 1.5 68.8%31.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 42.4%57.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 21.0%79.0% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Bristol Rovers win and over 2.5 goals24.9%
Bristol Rovers win and both teams score18.6%
Exeter City win and over 2.5 goals12.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals22.2%
Outcome markets
Bristol Rovers or draw74.6%
Exeter City or draw52.7%
Either team wins72.7%
Draw no bet: Bristol Rovers65.0%
Draw no bet: Exeter City35.0%
Bristol Rovers win to nil28.7%
Exeter City win to nil14.9%
Team goals
Bristol Rovers to score75.9%
Exeter City to score62.1%
Bristol Rovers over 1.5 goals41.2%
Exeter City over 1.5 goals24.9%
Bristol Rovers clean sheet37.9%
Exeter City clean sheet24.1%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Bristol Rovers: 4-2-3-1(predicted)Exeter City: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City
Head to Head

Head to Head

Bristol Rovers vs Exeter City: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
12 April 2025Bristol Rovers1 - 2Exeter City
League Table

League Table

League TwoEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
174301710+715
27340104+613
37340116+513
47331116+512
573311411+312
674031211+112
773221310+311
87322108+211
9725075+211
10724197+210
11724187+110
12731389-110
137313811-310
147232101009
157232810-29
16721489-17
177214710-37
187214511-67
1971331011-16
20713345-16
2171331013-36
22713336-36
23712439-65
247115613-74
Relegation
League Two - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Barnet74301710715
2Walsall7340104613
3Grimsby7340116513
4Gillingham7331116512
5Cheltenham73311411312
6Bristol Rovers74031211112
7York73221310311
8Chesterfield7322108211
9Crewe725075211
10Tranmere Rovers724197210
11Fleetwood Town724187110
12Salford City731389-110
13Swindon Town7313811-310
14Rotherham7232101009
15Colchester7232810-29
16Oldham721489-17
17Rochdale7214710-37
18Shrewsbury7214511-67
19Newport County71331011-16
20Exeter City713345-16
21Accrington ST71331013-36
22Northampton713336-36
23Port Vale712439-65
24Crawley Town7115613-74