Georgia vs Ukraine Prediction - 28 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
72%Odds 1.38
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
What is the prediction for Georgia vs Ukraine?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Ukraine are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Georgia average 1.6 goals a game and Ukraine 2.2, a combined 3.8 that sits well clear of the line Superior has chosen for Georgia vs Ukraine on 28 September. That pick is Over 1.5 goals, rated 72 percent by the model and priced at 1.38, and both sides have scored in each of their last five matches.
Neither side has drawn a blank in five games
Superior turns measured scoring and conceding into an expected-goals figure for each team, and two teams who have scored in every recent match start with healthy rates on both sides of the grid. Ukraine won 5-3 in Iceland last October and 2-0 in Poland in May; Georgia drew 2-2 with Israel in March and lost 4-1 in Türkiye last October.
Ukraine beat Albania 1-0 in March
Ukraine can also win small: they edged Albania 1-0 and Azerbaijan 2-1, and Georgia kept clean sheets against Bahrain and Lithuania. There is no recent meeting between the two to lean on. The bet loses on a 1-0 either way or a 0-0, and a cagey Nations League night in which Ukraine score once and defend it is the most plausible version.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-1
- Correct score: 2-1
Today's acca
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