Northern Ireland vs Hungary Prediction - 28 September 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
65%Odds 1.50
Correct score1-1Alternative1-2
What is the prediction for Northern Ireland vs Hungary?
Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-2. Hungary are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Hungary carry a 6.7 attack rating into Northern Ireland vs Hungary on 28 September, against a home defence rated 6.1, and they have scored in four of their last five. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals, which the model puts at 65 percent, at a price of 1.50.
Hungary have eight goals in their last five
Superior prices every scoreline on a Poisson grid built from each team's expected goals, and the stronger attack against the weaker defence supplies most of the total here. Hungary beat Kazakhstan 3-1 and Finland 2-1 in June and drew 2-2 in Portugal last October. Northern Ireland conceded three in France in June, and their own rate of 1.0 a game gives the grid a second route to two goals.
Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 over Slovenia
Four of the two sides' last ten games finished with fewer than two goals: Hungary's 0-0 with Greece and 1-0 win over Slovenia in March, and Northern Ireland's 1-0 win over Guinea and 1-0 home defeat to Germany. Any repeat of those scorelines, 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1, loses the bet, and a single goal either way is the likeliest of them.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
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