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Austria vs Israel Prediction - 24 September 2026

UEFA Nations LeagueWorldFull time
Austria
3-1
Israel

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

81%Odds 1.19Won

Correct score2-0Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home1.45price rising, opened at 1.38
Draw4.74price falling, opened at 4.98
Away6.55price falling, opened at 8.00
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.12
Under 1.54.80price rising, opened at 4.70
Over 2.51.51price falling, opened at 1.53
Under 2.52.35price rising, opened at 2.31
Over 3.52.40price falling, opened at 2.45
Under 3.51.56price rising, opened at 1.55
Both teams to score
Yes1.69price falling, opened at 1.80
No2.07price rising, opened at 1.92
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home -1.251.97price rising, opened at 1.82
Away +1.251.83price falling, opened at 1.99

What is the prediction for Austria vs Israel?

Our correct score is 2-0, then 2-1. Austria are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Austria vs Israel on 24 September is shaped by Israel's defense: eight goals conceded in their last two matches. Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick is priced at 1.19, with the model's own number on it at 81 percent, and Austria's 1.4 goals a game added to Israel's 0.6 clears the line before either team's finishing even needs to spike.

Israel have conceded eight goals in their last two matches

Israel's recent defensive numbers do most of the work here: two of their last five matches ended in 0-3 and 0-5 defeats, eight goals conceded between them. Austria's attack rating of 6.5 against a side leaking at that rate is the kind of mismatch that pushes a two-goal line well within range even before either team's own scoring rate is added in.

Austria have won their last two matches at home

The hosts arrive with genuine home form of their own: back-to-back wins, 3-1 and 1-0, in their last two matches at this venue. A defence rating of 6.3 gives Austria the platform to control the game, but their own attack has produced goals in both of those recent home outings, which is the more direct route to clearing 1.5.

Israel have also played to two scoreless stretches this cycle

The way this goes wrong is a repeat of Israel's other recent trend: a 0-0 draw sits alongside those two heavy defeats in their last five, proof they can also lock a game down defensively rather than just leaking goals. If Austria's finishing goes cold against a well-organized back line, a single-goal 1-0 or a stalemate is enough to beat this bet.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Match Winner: HomeWon1.42
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Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 2-010.1%Our score
  2. 2-19.8%Alternative
  3. 1-08.8%
  4. 1-17.7%
  5. 3-07.7%

Top five combined: 44.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAustriaxG2.22
AwayIsraelxG0.91
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.3%
8.8%
10%
7.7%
4.8%
3.1%
1.6%
1
4.2%
7.7%
9.8%
6.8%
3.7%
2.1%
1.1%
2
2.1%
4.1%
4.1%
3.1%
1.8%
0.8%
0.4%
3
0.8%
1.4%
1.4%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.1%47.9% No
Over 1.5 82.8%17.2% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 62.9%37.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 40.5%59.5% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Austria win and over 2.5 goals47.9%
Austria win and both teams score30.7%
Israel win and over 2.5 goals9.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.0%
Outcome markets
Austria or draw84.0%
Israel or draw33.3%
Either team wins82.7%
Draw no bet: Austria80.7%
Draw no bet: Israel19.3%
Austria win to nil36.0%
Israel win to nil7.6%
Team goals
Austria to score88.1%
Israel to score59.7%
Austria over 1.5 goals65.5%
Israel over 1.5 goals24.3%
Austria clean sheet40.3%
Israel clean sheet11.9%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35Won

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Austria vs Israel