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Serbia vs Greece Prediction - 24 September 2026

UEFA Nations LeagueWorldFull time
Serbia
1-2
Greece

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

73%Odds 1.29Won

Correct score1-1Alternative0-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.91price rising, opened at 2.66
Draw3.18price falling, opened at 3.32
Away2.53price falling, opened at 2.66
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.40price rising, opened at 1.32
Under 1.52.77price falling, opened at 3.04
Over 2.52.30price rising, opened at 2.12
Under 2.51.62price falling, opened at 1.72
Over 3.54.45price rising, opened at 3.74
Under 3.51.18price falling, opened at 1.22
Both teams to score
Yes1.84price rising, opened at 1.82
No1.88price falling, opened at 1.90
Odd/Even
Odd1.82price falling, opened at 1.86
Even1.88price rising, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +02.04price rising, opened at 1.90
Away +01.78price falling, opened at 1.90

What is the prediction for Serbia vs Greece?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 0-1. Greece are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

A combined scoring rate of 1.8 goals a game, Serbia's 1.2 plus Greece's 0.6, is less than half the four-goal mark this Under 3.5 goals pick needs to clear. Superior prices Serbia vs Greece at 1.29 for 24 September, which the model rates 73 percent, built on Greece having failed to score in three of their last five matches.

The combined scoring rate sits under half the line

Serbia's 1.2 goals a game and Greece's 0.6 add up to 1.8, and even allowing for some variance around that average, both sides would need a significant jump from their own recent output for this total to threaten 3.5. Greece in particular have scored more than once in only one of their last five matches.

Greece have failed to score in three of their last five

Three blanks in five, two of them 0-1 defeats and one a 0-0 draw, is the away side's actual recent record, and it lines up directly with their season scoring rate. Serbia's defence rating of 6.4 against an attack that has gone quiet that often is a big part of why the total is expected to stay low.

Serbia have conceded eleven goals in their last three away matches

The clearest risk to this line is not Greece's attack, it is Serbia's own defence on the road: three straight away matches produced a 1-5, two 0-3 defeats, eleven goals conceded between them. This fixture is at home for Serbia, but if that leak resurfaces and Greece's attack finds more than the one goal it has managed lately, the total clears 3.5 without either side needing a big scoring day.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.75
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost6.00
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.4%Our score
  2. 0-19.9%Alternative
  3. 1-29.0%
  4. 1-08.5%
  5. 2-17.1%

Top five combined: 45.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSerbiaxG1.27
AwayGreecexG1.31
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.6%
8.5%
5.1%
2.4%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
1
9.9%
11%
7.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
2
6.8%
9.0%
4.9%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
3.7%
4.1%
2.5%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.7%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 52.4%47.6% No
Over 1.5 75.0%25.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.6%48.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.5%70.5% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Serbia win and over 2.5 goals19.0%
Serbia win and both teams score15.2%
Greece win and over 2.5 goals26.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.0%
Outcome markets
Serbia or draw56.6%
Greece or draw67.4%
Either team wins76.1%
Draw no bet: Serbia42.9%
Draw no bet: Greece57.1%
Serbia win to nil17.5%
Greece win to nil23.5%
Team goals
Serbia to score69.9%
Greece to score75.9%
Serbia over 1.5 goals34.5%
Greece over 1.5 goals43.1%
Serbia clean sheet24.1%
Greece clean sheet30.1%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Formations

Expected formations

Serbia: 3-4-2-1(predicted)Greece: 4-2-3-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Serbia vs Greece