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Netherlands vs Germany Prediction - 24 September 2026

UEFA Nations LeagueWorldFull time
Netherlands
1-1
Germany

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

80%Odds 1.20Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.65price rising, opened at 2.40
Draw3.74price rising, opened at 3.70
Away2.45price falling, opened at 2.74
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.07price falling, opened at 1.11
Under 1.55.80price rising, opened at 4.80
Over 2.51.39price falling, opened at 1.52
Under 2.52.73price rising, opened at 2.33
Over 3.52.06price falling, opened at 2.40
Under 3.51.77price rising, opened at 1.57
Both teams to score
Yes1.36price falling, opened at 1.45
No2.94price rising, opened at 2.59
Odd/Even
Odd1.88price rising, opened at 1.87
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +01.97price rising, opened at 1.78
Away +01.83price falling, opened at 2.02

What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Germany?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 2-1. Netherlands are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Germany have scored sixteen goals in their last five matches, the heaviest output of any side previewed for 24 September, and it is the backbone of Superior's Over 1.5 goals call on Netherlands vs Germany at 1.20. Eighty percent confidence from the model reflects a combined 5.6 goals a game between two attacks both rated above 6.0.

Germany have scored sixteen goals in their last five matches

That volume includes a 7-1 win and three other multi-goal matches, and it lines up with their season average of 3.2 goals a game, the highest scoring rate on this fixture list. Even accounting for a tougher Dutch defence rated 6.2, a team scoring at that pace clearing 1.5 goals by itself is a low bar.

Netherlands have scored in four of their last five at this level

The hosts have their own scoring case: four wins in their last five including a 5-1, with the only blank coming in a 0-1 defeat. Netherlands' attack rating of 6.1 against Germany's defence rated 6.4 is a closer match on the model's scale, but between two sides averaging a combined 5.6 goals a game, the lean toward goals holds from either direction.

Netherlands' one blank in five was a 0-1 defeat

The genuine risk is a repeat of that single scoreless Dutch performance: Netherlands lost 0-1 without scoring themselves, and if their attack goes quiet again against a Germany defence rated 6.4, a tight 1-0 finish is enough to beat this line. It is the one result in ten recent matches between both sides that would.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-19.2%Our score
  2. 2-18.8%Alternative
  3. 1-07.9%
  4. 2-06.9%
  5. 1-26.9%

Top five combined: 39.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNetherlandsxG1.59
AwayGermanyxG1.43
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.4%
7.9%
6.9%
4.4%
2.3%
1.7%
0.6%
1
6.0%
9.2%
8.8%
5.0%
2.4%
1.4%
0.5%
2
4.0%
6.9%
5.4%
3.1%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
3
2.1%
3.1%
2.9%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.9%
1.2%
1.0%
0.5%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 58.2%41.8% No
Over 1.5 81.7%18.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 61.6%38.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 39.5%60.5% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Netherlands win and over 2.5 goals34.0%
Netherlands win and both teams score25.0%
Germany win and over 2.5 goals20.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals13.6%
Outcome markets
Netherlands or draw69.5%
Germany or draw51.1%
Either team wins79.3%
Draw no bet: Netherlands61.6%
Draw no bet: Germany38.4%
Netherlands win to nil23.8%
Germany win to nil13.6%
Team goals
Netherlands to score82.0%
Germany to score71.8%
Netherlands over 1.5 goals53.1%
Germany over 1.5 goals38.7%
Netherlands clean sheet28.2%
Germany clean sheet18.0%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Netherlands vs Germany