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Liechtenstein vs Lithuania Prediction - 24 September 2026

UEFA Nations LeagueWorldFull time
Liechtenstein
0-2
Lithuania

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

73%Odds 1.28Won

Correct score0-2Alternative0-1

Bookmaker odds

Home14.50price rising, opened at 11.50
Draw5.25price rising, opened at 4.72
Away1.26price falling, opened at 1.32
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.44price rising, opened at 1.35
Under 1.52.55price falling, opened at 2.88
Over 2.52.38price rising, opened at 2.14
Under 2.51.58price falling, opened at 1.71
Over 3.54.30price rising, opened at 3.64
Under 3.51.17price falling, opened at 1.23
Both teams to score
Yes4.10price rising, opened at 2.76
No1.20price falling, opened at 1.40
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price falling, opened at 1.87
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +1.51.92price rising, opened at 1.80
Away -1.51.88price falling, opened at 2.01

What is the prediction for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?

Our correct score is 0-2, then 0-1. Lithuania are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Liechtenstein vs Lithuania on 24 September pairs two sides averaging an identical 0.6 goals a game this cycle, the lowest combined scoring rate of any fixture previewed today. Superior's Under 3.5 goals pick is priced at 1.28, with a 73 percent read from the model.

Both sides average the same 0.6 goals a game

That shared low scoring rate is unusual even by this fixture list's standards, the smallest combined figure previewed here. Liechtenstein have lost four of their last five, and Lithuania have managed only one win in the same span, both sides struggling to create rather than struggling to defend.

Lithuania have failed to score in three of their last five

Three blanks, two 0-2 defeats and a 0-0 draw, make up more than half of Lithuania's recent matches. Liechtenstein's defence, rated 5.8, is not a strong unit on the model's own scale, but an opponent scoreless in three of its last five matches is doing a lot of the work behind this total regardless.

The price already needs a higher hit rate than the model gives it

The 1.28 odd implies this needs to land close to four times in five to break even, a shade above the model's own 73 percent read, the most honest caveat available on this pick. The scoreline risk sits with Liechtenstein's one win in the sample, a 1-0, and their heaviest defeat, a 1-4: if either side's defence has an off night the way Liechtenstein's did there, the total clears 3.5 without needing much from the other end.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Asian Handicap: Away -0.25Won1.23
  • Match Winner: AwayWon1.38
  • Goals: Under 2.5Won1.77
  • Asian Handicap: Away -1.25Won1.87
  • Correct score: 0-2Won5.40
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 0-212.3%Our score
  2. 0-112.5%Alternative
  3. 1-18.9%
  4. 1-28.9%
  5. 0-38.5%

Top five combined: 51.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLiechtensteinxG0.63
AwayLithuaniaxG2.06
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.5%
4.9%
2.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
12%
8.9%
3.6%
1.1%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
2
12%
8.9%
3.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
8.5%
5.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
5.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 42.8%57.2% No
Over 1.5 76.1%23.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.9%47.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.1%68.9% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

Liechtenstein win and over 2.5 goals8.4%
Liechtenstein win and both teams score6.9%
Lithuania win and over 2.5 goals40.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.4%
Outcome markets
Liechtenstein or draw34.4%
Lithuania or draw84.6%
Either team wins80.9%
Draw no bet: Liechtenstein19.0%
Draw no bet: Lithuania81.0%
Liechtenstein win to nil8.4%
Lithuania win to nil42.3%
Team goals
Liechtenstein to score51.2%
Lithuania to score85.1%
Liechtenstein over 1.5 goals18.5%
Lithuania over 1.5 goals58.4%
Liechtenstein clean sheet14.9%
Lithuania clean sheet48.8%

Today's acca

1 games, total odds 1.35

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Liechtenstein vs Lithuania