Goals: Over 1.5
73%Odds 1.36
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Algeria3Zambia1
Correct score2-03-0
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25 September 2026
25 September 2026. Our strongest pick of the day.
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Every one of Algeria's last five games had at least two goals, the 3-3 with Austria and the 4-0 over Bolivia among them, and that record is behind the Bet of the Day for 25 September: Over 1.5 goals in Algeria vs Zambia at 1.36. Superior's model gives the pick a 73 percent chance and has 2-0 to Algeria as its correct score.
Algeria drew 3-3 with Austria and beat Bolivia 4-0
Algeria's five most recent games went 2-0 to Switzerland, 3-3 with Austria, 2-1 over Jordan, 3-0 to Argentina and 4-0 over Bolivia. Even the two defeats cleared the line. Superior's model sets an expected scoring rate for each side from measured scoring and conceding, and Zambia's defence has conceded in four of its last five, a 5-0 defeat to Argentina among them, so most of the score grid for this qualifier sits on two goals or more.
Zambia held Comoros 0-0 in December 2025
Zambia have scored once in five games, so the two goals this pick needs will most likely have to come from Algeria. Algeria were shut out by Switzerland and by Argentina, and one Algeria goal with nothing in reply loses the bet at 1-0, as would a repeat of Zambia's goalless draw with Comoros.
More tips for this game
- Match Winner: Home
- Correct score: 2-0
